2013 ARS to NPR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

18.8428 NPR

YEARLY LOW

15.1927 NPR

YEARLY AVERAGE

17.1271 NPR

2013 ARS to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the ARS to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 3, valuing the pair at 18.8428. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 15.1927.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.6501 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 17.5478 to the December average rate of 15.6369, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.89% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 18.8428 was down 8.13% compared to the 2012 peak of 20.5108, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 94,214 NPR

2012 Average 93,943 NPR

Yearly Trough Low 75,964 NPR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,250.54 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

18.1880

15.4050

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 17.1705, compared to 17.0837 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0868 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 17.1705

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 17.0837

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was September, with a trading range of 1.6063 NPR (High: 18.8428 / Low: 17.2365). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2365 NPR (High: 17.3048 / Low: 17.0683).

September Spread (Volatile) ±1.6063

February Spread (Stable) ±0.2365

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.9918 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9918

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2013: 17.8223) against the same month in 2012 (average: 18.6676), the exchange rate shifted by -0.8453 (-4.53%).

2013 Avg (September) 17.8223

2012 Avg (September) 18.6676

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	17.9086	17.1147	17.5478
February	17.3048	17.0683	17.2063
March	17.4057	16.9335	17.1153
April	17.0615	16.6581	16.8893
May	17.1285	16.6041	16.7860
June	17.9397	17.0832	17.4782
July	18.0191	17.2059	17.5863
August	18.7921	17.5786	17.9561
September	18.8428	17.2365	17.8223
October	17.2348	16.6570	16.8720
November	16.9244	16.3007	16.6287
December	16.2885	15.1927	15.6369