YEARLY HIGH
5.5241 NPR
YEARLY LOW
2.8098 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.1354 NPR

2018 ARS to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 5.5241. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 2.8098.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.7142 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.3590 to the December average rate of 2.9905, the exchange rate registered a net change of -44.20% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.5241 was down 20.70% compared to the 2017 peak of 6.9663, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,620 NPR
2017 Average 31,561 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 14,049 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,571.11 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.5958
2.7536
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.9274, compared to 3.3434 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.5840 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.9274
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.3434

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 1.1291 NPR (High: 4.0531 / Low: 2.9240). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0847 NPR (High: 5.1795 / Low: 5.0949).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.1291
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0847

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.7569 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7569

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 5.3590) against the same month in 2017 (average: 6.8550), the exchange rate shifted by -1.4961 (-21.82%).

2018 Avg (January) 5.3590
2017 Avg (January) 6.8550

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.5241 5.1767 5.3590
February 5.2707 5.1316 5.1947
March 5.1795 5.0949 5.1466
April 5.2840 5.1314 5.1902
May 5.1406 4.3232 4.5967
June 4.3176 3.7924 4.0775
July 4.0310 3.7842 3.9792
August 4.0531 2.9240 3.7495
September 3.1167 2.8098 2.9926
October 3.3035 2.9532 3.1828
November 3.3106 2.9009 3.1660
December 3.0859 2.9329 2.9905