2012 ARS to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

7.5721 RUB

YEARLY LOW

6.1881 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.8407 RUB

2012 ARS to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ARS to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 1, valuing the pair at 7.5721. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 6.1881.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3840 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.2618 to the December average rate of 6.2975, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.28% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 7.5721 was down 2.98% compared to the 2011 peak of 7.8049, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 37,860 RUB

2011 Average 35,618 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 30,940 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,920.07 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

7.4495

6.1927

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.9758, compared to 6.7057 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2701 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.9758

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.7057

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.7962 RUB (High: 7.4550 / Low: 6.6589). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1303 RUB (High: 6.7785 / Low: 6.6482).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.7962

April Spread (Stable) ±0.1303

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.3993 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3993

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2012: 7.3448) against the same month in 2011 (average: 6.8320), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5128 (+7.51%).

2012 Avg (June) 7.3448

2011 Avg (June) 6.8320

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	7.4844	6.9577	7.2618
February	6.9823	6.6762	6.8625
March	6.8515	6.6384	6.7378
April	6.7785	6.6482	6.7069
May	7.4550	6.6589	6.9411
June	7.5721	7.1955	7.3448
July	7.3202	7.0004	7.1392
August	7.0859	6.8742	6.9368
September	6.9863	6.5412	6.7259
October	6.6447	6.5007	6.5852
November	6.6418	6.3892	6.5495
December	6.3886	6.1881	6.2975