2021 ARS to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.8805 RUB

YEARLY LOW

0.6981 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.7778 RUB

2021 ARS to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ARS to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 0.8805. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 26, dropping to 0.6981.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1824 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8672 to the December average rate of 0.7252, the exchange rate registered a net change of -16.38% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.8805 was down 31.22% compared to the 2020 peak of 1.2802, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,403 RUB

2020 Average 5,151 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 3,490 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 912.22 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.8820

0.7044

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8157, compared to 0.7399 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0758 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8157

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7399

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was February, with a trading range of 0.0497 RUB (High: 0.8696 / Low: 0.8199). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0136 RUB (High: 0.7498 / Low: 0.7363).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0497

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0136

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0348 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0348

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 0.8672) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1.0326), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1655 (-16.02%).

2021 Avg (January) 0.8672

2020 Avg (January) 1.0326

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.8805	0.8511	0.8672
February	0.8696	0.8199	0.8383
March	0.8384	0.7992	0.8188
April	0.8398	0.7963	0.8212
May	0.8054	0.7742	0.7864
June	0.7771	0.7548	0.7624
July	0.7790	0.7564	0.7687
August	0.7641	0.7499	0.7571
September	0.7498	0.7363	0.7422
October	0.7380	0.6981	0.7192
November	0.7499	0.7069	0.7274
December	0.7356	0.7157	0.7252