YEARLY HIGH
1.8408 RUB
YEARLY LOW
1.0339 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.3864 RUB

2019 ARS to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 1.8408. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 25, dropping to 1.0339.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8068 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7857 to the December average rate of 1.0510, the exchange rate registered a net change of -41.14% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1.8408 was down 41.18% compared to the 2018 peak of 3.1295, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,204 RUB
2018 Average 11,805 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 5,170 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,034.07 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1.8592
0.9776
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5831, compared to 1.1898 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3933 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5831
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1898

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.3696 RUB (High: 1.4667 / Low: 1.0971). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0144 RUB (High: 1.0779 / Low: 1.0635).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.3696
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0144

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.2134 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2134

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 1.7857) against the same month in 2018 (average: 2.9831), the exchange rate shifted by -1.1973 (-40.14%).

2019 Avg (January) 1.7857
2018 Avg (January) 2.9831

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.8408 1.7454 1.7857
February 1.7652 1.6558 1.7163
March 1.6554 1.4779 1.5819
April 1.5461 1.4140 1.4997
May 1.4671 1.4275 1.4475
June 1.4916 1.4430 1.4675
July 1.5273 1.4483 1.4917
August 1.4667 1.0971 1.2783
September 1.1939 1.1209 1.1473
October 1.1367 1.0660 1.1002
November 1.0779 1.0635 1.0701
December 1.0781 1.0339 1.0510