YEARLY HIGH
0.4170 RUB
YEARLY LOW
0.1095 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3184 RUB

2023 ARS to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the ARS to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.4170. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 0.1095.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3075 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3845 to the December average rate of 0.1669, the exchange rate registered a net change of -56.59% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 0.4170 was down 68.30% compared to the 2022 peak of 1.3156, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,085 RUB
2022 Average 2,798 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 548 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,537.61 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

0.4063
0.1452
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3668, compared to 0.2700 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0968 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3668
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2700

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was December, with a trading range of 0.1457 RUB (High: 0.2552 / Low: 0.1095). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0106 RUB (High: 0.2815 / Low: 0.2709).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1457
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0106

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2023. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0896 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0896

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 0.3845) against the same month in 2022 (average: 0.7369), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3524 (-47.82%).

2023 Avg (January) 0.3845
2022 Avg (January) 0.7369

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4170 0.3639 0.3845
February 0.3896 0.3734 0.3833
March 0.3847 0.3684 0.3770
April 0.3871 0.3633 0.3765
May 0.3629 0.3311 0.3431
June 0.3463 0.3206 0.3361
July 0.3529 0.3304 0.3412
August 0.3485 0.2672 0.3017
September 0.2815 0.2709 0.2765
October 0.2889 0.2656 0.2773
November 0.2665 0.2465 0.2565
December 0.2552 0.1095 0.1669