YEARLY HIGH
3.3279 SCR
YEARLY LOW
2.6663 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.0279 SCR

2012 ARS to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ARS to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 27, valuing the pair at 3.3279. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 2.6663.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6617 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.2144 to the December average rate of 2.6836, the exchange rate registered a net change of -16.51% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 3.3279 was up 3.25% compared to the 2011 peak of 3.2231, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 16,640 SCR
2011 Average 15,086 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 13,331 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,308.44 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

3.2924
2.6283
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.2120, compared to 2.8437 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3684 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.2120
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.8437

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was August, with a trading range of 0.2627 SCR (High: 3.0799 / Low: 2.8172). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0413 SCR (High: 2.7874 / Low: 2.7462).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.2627
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0413

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.3169 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3169

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2012: 3.2252) against the same month in 2011 (average: 2.9978), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2274 (+7.59%).

2012 Avg (June) 3.2252
2011 Avg (June) 2.9978

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.2762 3.0981 3.2144
February 3.2961 3.1713 3.2232
March 3.2827 3.1512 3.2371
April 3.2738 3.1289 3.1919
May 3.2668 3.1185 3.1805
June 3.3279 3.1511 3.2252
July 3.2920 3.0719 3.1974
August 3.0799 2.8172 2.8805
September 2.8143 2.7646 2.7871
October 2.7874 2.7462 2.7739
November 2.7667 2.7157 2.7394
December 2.7169 2.6663 2.6836