2016 ARS to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0098 SCR

YEARLY LOW

0.8313 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9008 SCR

2016 ARS to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 1.0098. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 14, dropping to 0.8313.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1785 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9648 to the December average rate of 0.8453, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.40% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.0098 was down 38.85% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.6515, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,049 SCR

2015 Average 7,241 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 4,157 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 892.70 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.9768

0.8333

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9281, compared to 0.8736 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0545 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9281

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8736

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.1368 SCR (High: 0.9898 / Low: 0.8530). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0237 SCR (High: 0.8826 / Low: 0.8588).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.1368

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0237

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0580 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0580

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.9648) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.6193), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6544 (-40.41%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.9648

2015 Avg (January) 1.6193

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0098	0.9271	0.9648
February	0.9898	0.8530	0.9069
March	0.9299	0.8443	0.8921
April	1.0021	0.8927	0.9341
May	0.9715	0.9249	0.9436
June	0.9636	0.8388	0.9269
July	0.9153	0.8574	0.8835
August	0.9188	0.8736	0.8921
September	0.8920	0.8648	0.8779
October	0.8826	0.8588	0.8726
November	0.8945	0.8443	0.8702
December	0.8753	0.8313	0.8453