2018 ARS to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.7640 SCR

YEARLY LOW

0.3302 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.5210 SCR

2018 ARS to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.7640. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 29, dropping to 0.3302.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4338 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7325 to the December average rate of 0.3618, the exchange rate registered a net change of -50.61% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.7640 was down 15.11% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.9000, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,820 SCR

2017 Average 4,112 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 1,651 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,168.93 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.7703

0.3165

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6404, compared to 0.4016 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2388 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6404

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4016

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.1471 SCR (High: 0.4985 / Low: 0.3514). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0179 SCR (High: 0.3734 / Low: 0.3555).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1471

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0179

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1038 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1038

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.7325) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.8420), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1095 (-13.01%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.7325

2017 Avg (January) 0.8420

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.7640	0.6982	0.7325
February	0.7232	0.6678	0.6867
March	0.6921	0.6623	0.6749
April	0.6810	0.6548	0.6657
May	0.6496	0.5390	0.5746
June	0.5404	0.4687	0.5082
July	0.4983	0.4677	0.4906
August	0.4985	0.3514	0.4582
September	0.3694	0.3302	0.3544
October	0.3832	0.3447	0.3689
November	0.3856	0.3490	0.3758
December	0.3734	0.3555	0.3618