YEARLY HIGH
0.3698 SCR
YEARLY LOW
0.2172 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2927 SCR

2019 ARS to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 0.3698. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 4, dropping to 0.2172.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1526 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3654 to the December average rate of 0.2291, the exchange rate registered a net change of -37.30% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.3698 was down 51.60% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.7640, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,849 SCR
2018 Average 2,601 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 1,086 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 762.83 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.3790
0.2155
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3317, compared to 0.2536 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0782 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3317
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2536

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.0856 SCR (High: 0.3129 / Low: 0.2272). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0011 SCR (High: 0.2296 / Low: 0.2285).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0856
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0011

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0587 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0587

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 0.3654) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.7325), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3671 (-50.12%).

2019 Avg (January) 0.3654
2018 Avg (January) 0.7325

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3698 0.3609 0.3654
February 0.3688 0.3445 0.3569
March 0.3468 0.3114 0.3320
April 0.3304 0.2985 0.3182
May 0.3082 0.3017 0.3050
June 0.3224 0.3046 0.3130
July 0.3289 0.3114 0.3225
August 0.3129 0.2272 0.2637
September 0.2485 0.2297 0.2421
October 0.2386 0.2293 0.2346
November 0.2359 0.2172 0.2295
December 0.2296 0.2285 0.2291