2013 ARS to VUV Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

18.5815 VUV

YEARLY LOW

14.7628 VUV

YEARLY AVERAGE

17.2180 VUV

2013 ARS to VUV Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the ARS to VUV exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 18.5815. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 14.7628.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.8187 VUV. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 18.2979 to the December average rate of 15.1729, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.08% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 18.5815 was down 14.46% compared to the 2012 peak of 21.7237, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 92,907 VUV

2012 Average 100,562 VUV

Yearly Trough Low 73,814 VUV

Transaction Impact: A difference of 19,093.31 VUV purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

18.6104

14.8603

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to VUV Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 17.9233, compared to 16.5127 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.4106 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 17.9233

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 16.5127

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was September, with a trading range of 0.7917 VUV (High: 17.2807 / Low: 16.4890). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1997 VUV (High: 18.1360 / Low: 17.9363).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.7917

February Spread (Stable) ±0.1997

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.6298 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6298

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 18.2979) against the same month in 2012 (average: 21.3331), the exchange rate shifted by -3.0352 (-14.23%).

2013 Avg (January) 18.2979

2012 Avg (January) 21.3331

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	18.5815	17.9926	18.2979
February	18.1360	17.9363	18.0004
March	18.1310	17.8329	17.9880
April	17.9088	17.6417	17.7591
May	17.8459	17.5488	17.7063
June	18.0041	17.5872	17.7880
July	17.9375	17.4018	17.7162
August	17.6711	17.2105	17.3948
September	17.2807	16.4890	16.7960
October	16.5226	15.9423	16.1940
November	16.0883	15.4390	15.8027
December	15.4570	14.7628	15.1729