2021 ARS to VUV Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.2922 VUV

YEARLY LOW

1.1022 VUV

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.1611 VUV

2021 ARS to VUV Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ARS to VUV exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 1.2922. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 1.1022.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1900 VUV. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2611 to the December average rate of 1.1098, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.99% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1.2922 was down 33.58% compared to the 2020 peak of 1.9454, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,461 VUV

2020 Average 8,317 VUV

Yearly Trough Low 5,511 VUV

Transaction Impact: A difference of 949.92 VUV purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

1.2762

1.0947

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to VUV Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1929, compared to 1.1294 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0635 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1929

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1294

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 0.0522 VUV (High: 1.2922 / Low: 1.2400). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0079 VUV (High: 1.1399 / Low: 1.1319).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0522

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0079

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0416 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0416

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 1.2611) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1.9283), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6673 (-34.60%).

2021 Avg (January) 1.2611

2020 Avg (January) 1.9283

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.2922	1.2400	1.2611
February	1.2392	1.1934	1.2194
March	1.2056	1.1826	1.1952
April	1.2032	1.1718	1.1826
May	1.1775	1.1439	1.1562
June	1.1505	1.1371	1.1428
July	1.1489	1.1398	1.1444
August	1.1548	1.1375	1.1454
September	1.1399	1.1319	1.1359
October	1.1403	1.1154	1.1290
November	1.1157	1.1073	1.1115
December	1.1173	1.1022	1.1098