YEARLY HIGH
3.0036 VUV
YEARLY LOW
1.9204 VUV
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.4236 VUV

2019 ARS to VUV Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to VUV exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 3.0036. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 26, dropping to 1.9204.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0832 VUV. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.9711 to the December average rate of 1.9352, the exchange rate registered a net change of -34.86% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 3.0036 was down 47.85% compared to the 2018 peak of 5.7598, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,018 VUV
2018 Average 20,510 VUV
Yearly Trough Low 9,602 VUV
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,416.17 VUV purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

3.0747
1.8316
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to VUV Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.6993, compared to 2.1478 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5516 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.6993
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.1478

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.6842 VUV (High: 2.6134 / Low: 1.9292). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0181 VUV (High: 1.9442 / Low: 1.9261).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.6842
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0181

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.4577 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4577

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 2.9711) against the same month in 2018 (average: 5.5411), the exchange rate shifted by -2.5700 (-46.38%).

2019 Avg (January) 2.9711
2018 Avg (January) 5.5411

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.0036 2.9362 2.9711
February 2.9830 2.7973 2.8947
March 2.7941 2.5333 2.6954
April 2.6705 2.4278 2.5818
May 2.5185 2.4585 2.4887
June 2.7087 2.4789 2.5644
July 2.7763 2.6360 2.7127
August 2.6134 1.9292 2.2550
September 2.1036 1.9339 2.0523
October 2.0322 1.9204 1.9888
November 1.9565 1.9282 1.9426
December 1.9442 1.9261 1.9352