YEARLY HIGH
5.7598 VUV
YEARLY LOW
2.6281 VUV
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.1083 VUV

2018 ARS to VUV Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to VUV exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 5.7598. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 2.6281.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.1317 VUV. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.5411 to the December average rate of 2.9323, the exchange rate registered a net change of -47.08% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.7598 was down 20.49% compared to the 2017 peak of 7.2438, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 28,799 VUV
2017 Average 32,409 VUV
Yearly Trough Low 13,141 VUV
Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,658.47 VUV purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.8136
2.5441
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to VUV Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.9851, compared to 3.2314 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.7537 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.9851
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.2314

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 1.1794 VUV (High: 3.9805 / Low: 2.8011). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1180 VUV (High: 5.2800 / Low: 5.1619).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.1794
April Spread (Stable) ±0.1180

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.8415 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8415

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 5.5411) against the same month in 2017 (average: 6.8546), the exchange rate shifted by -1.3134 (-19.16%).

2018 Avg (January) 5.5411
2017 Avg (January) 6.8546

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.7598 5.2487 5.5411
February 5.3670 5.2021 5.2931
March 5.2867 5.1422 5.2157
April 5.2800 5.1619 5.2302
May 5.1884 4.2831 4.5863
June 4.3138 3.7475 4.0444
July 4.0131 3.7603 3.9312
August 3.9805 2.8011 3.6580
September 2.9450 2.6281 2.8165
October 3.1047 2.7486 3.0008
November 3.1407 2.8375 3.0497
December 3.0278 2.8945 2.9323