2011 AWG to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1611.5594 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1277.1950 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1409.6239 UGX

2011 AWG to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the AWG to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 1611.5594. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 30, dropping to 1277.1950.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 334.3644 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1301.0694 to the December average rate of 1369.3170, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.25% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1611.5594 was up 23.69% compared to the 2010 peak of 1302.8892, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AWG based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,057,797 UGX

2010 Average 6,088,118 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 6,385,975 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,671,822.25 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1599.9424

1273.8991

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AWG to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1330.3043, compared to 1488.9436 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 158.6394 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1330.3043

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1488.9436

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 169.1562 UGX (High: 1611.5594 / Low: 1442.4033). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 11.4645 UGX (High: 1340.5921 / Low: 1329.1276).

October Spread (Volatile) ±169.1562

May Spread (Stable) ±11.4645

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 123.6320 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -123.6320

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 1564.8788) against the same month in 2010 (average: 1265.8531), the exchange rate shifted by +299.0257 (+23.62%).

2011 Avg (October) 1564.8788

2010 Avg (October) 1265.8531

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1336.4005	1277.1950	1301.0694
February	1331.6592	1288.9274	1311.2478
March	1355.9538	1323.0018	1339.4731
April	1332.8806	1301.5599	1325.0772
May	1340.5921	1329.1276	1334.9047
June	1494.9993	1333.7882	1370.0533
July	1460.1336	1418.9053	1446.2283
August	1579.5115	1459.5807	1539.2187
September	1606.7803	1552.7322	1572.7721
October	1611.5594	1442.4033	1564.8788
November	1471.8586	1398.8649	1441.2468
December	1424.7315	1319.5085	1369.3170