2018 AWG to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2185.2014 UGX

YEARLY LOW

2019.7405 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2078.9336 UGX

2018 AWG to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the AWG to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 2185.2014. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 8, dropping to 2019.7405.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 165.4610 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2032.8606 to the December average rate of 2063.1424, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.49% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2185.2014 was up 6.54% compared to the 2017 peak of 2051.0681, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AWG based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,926,007 UGX

2017 Average 10,071,497 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 10,098,702 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 827,304.79 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2157.6893

2020.8402

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AWG to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2068.9092, compared to 2088.9579 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 20.0487 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2068.9092

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2088.9579

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 123.9511 UGX (High: 2181.9948 / Low: 2058.0437). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 16.7643 UGX (High: 2042.9517 / Low: 2026.1874).

July Spread (Volatile) ±123.9511

January Spread (Stable) ±16.7643

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 46.2912 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -46.2912

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 2146.2852) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1998.0118), the exchange rate shifted by +148.2734 (+7.42%).

2018 Avg (June) 2146.2852

2017 Avg (June) 1998.0118

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2042.9517	2026.1874	2032.8606
February	2049.5105	2019.7405	2032.2443
March	2076.4510	2037.0535	2047.8630
April	2080.6479	2059.7277	2069.9898
May	2111.8483	2069.1260	2084.2123
June	2185.2014	2110.5791	2146.2852
July	2181.9948	2058.0437	2099.9940
August	2103.2807	2056.1960	2080.9946
September	2125.7376	2099.9250	2114.6843
October	2124.8049	2080.8447	2098.9865
November	2087.5651	2059.0270	2075.9458
December	2077.6545	2050.8922	2063.1424