2016 AWG to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2024.8703 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1844.6695 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1905.7420 UGX

2016 AWG to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the AWG to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 2, valuing the pair at 2024.8703. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 24, dropping to 1844.6695.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 180.2008 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1921.2710 to the December average rate of 2004.8160, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.35% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2024.8703 was down 1.67% compared to the 2015 peak of 2059.3424, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AWG based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,124,351 UGX

2015 Average 9,034,106 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 9,223,347 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 901,003.88 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2018.9135

1849.7435

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AWG to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1885.6011, compared to 1925.8828 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 40.2817 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1885.6011

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1925.8828

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 91.8281 UGX (High: 2023.2941 / Low: 1931.4660). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 8.2323 UGX (High: 1885.2420 / Low: 1877.0096).

November Spread (Volatile) ±91.8281

August Spread (Stable) ±8.2323

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 37.2244 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -37.2244

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 2004.8160) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1874.4177), the exchange rate shifted by +130.3983 (+6.96%).

2016 Avg (December) 2004.8160

2015 Avg (December) 1874.4177

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1941.0970	1884.1267	1921.2710
February	1939.0896	1870.6295	1911.5656
March	1882.9279	1862.3674	1874.3412
April	1879.5115	1844.6695	1863.8410
May	1888.0868	1849.4427	1865.7422
June	1902.9622	1866.4520	1876.8456
July	1895.2466	1876.6704	1884.6021
August	1885.2420	1877.0096	1880.5198
September	1891.1639	1878.8832	1887.2862
October	1930.2857	1884.8035	1912.7613
November	2023.2941	1931.4660	1985.3117
December	2024.8703	1973.7822	2004.8160