2012 AWG to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1507.5351 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1290.5517 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1398.9838 UGX

2012 AWG to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the AWG to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 6, valuing the pair at 1507.5351. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 13, dropping to 1290.5517.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 216.9834 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1347.4833 to the December average rate of 1493.3656, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.83% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1507.5351 was down 6.45% compared to the 2011 peak of 1611.5594, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AWG based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,537,675 UGX

2011 Average 7,051,195 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 6,452,758 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,084,916.95 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1512.2451

1285.6910

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AWG to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1368.1631, compared to 1429.8044 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 61.6413 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1368.1631

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1429.8044

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 87.3952 UGX (High: 1385.4358 / Low: 1298.0407). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 10.9236 UGX (High: 1387.9280 / Low: 1377.0044).

January Spread (Volatile) ±87.3952

July Spread (Stable) ±10.9236

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 42.9128 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -42.9128

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 1493.3656) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1369.3170), the exchange rate shifted by +124.0486 (+9.06%).

2012 Avg (December) 1493.3656

2011 Avg (December) 1369.3170

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1385.4358	1298.0407	1347.4833
February	1368.0109	1290.5517	1304.5705
March	1430.6415	1367.2051	1386.4147
April	1405.7468	1385.5156	1397.7531
May	1402.1953	1368.1036	1384.3933
June	1401.8748	1377.9556	1388.3638
July	1387.9280	1377.0044	1382.3143
August	1408.3532	1383.1150	1392.4561
September	1428.7229	1392.8568	1405.1997
October	1451.5416	1422.1446	1441.8555
November	1505.5499	1442.0592	1463.6354
December	1507.5351	1480.6566	1493.3656