2012 AZN to BAM Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.0658 BAM

YEARLY LOW

1.8536 BAM

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.9392 BAM

2012 AZN to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the AZN to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 24, valuing the pair at 2.0658. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 26, dropping to 1.8536.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2122 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.9303 to the December average rate of 1.9020, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.46% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 2.0658 was up 7.19% compared to the 2011 peak of 1.9273, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AZN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,329 BAM

2011 Average 8,919 BAM

Yearly Trough Low 9,268 BAM

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,061.24 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

2.0417

1.8689

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AZN to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.9213, compared to 1.9571 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0357 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.9213

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.9571

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.1294 BAM (High: 2.0131 / Low: 1.8837). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0294 BAM (High: 1.9350 / Low: 1.9056).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.1294

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0294

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0734 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0734

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2012: 2.0273) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1.7434), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2839 (+16.28%).

2012 Avg (July) 2.0273

2011 Avg (July) 1.7434

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.9664	1.8900	1.9303
February	1.9080	1.8536	1.8833
March	1.9089	1.8681	1.8858
April	1.9069	1.8681	1.8926
May	2.0131	1.8837	1.9471
June	2.0143	1.9692	1.9888
July	2.0658	1.9735	2.0273
August	2.0463	1.9823	2.0106
September	1.9843	1.8982	1.9372
October	1.9350	1.9056	1.9214
November	1.9621	1.9200	1.9437
December	1.9295	1.8820	1.9020