2016 AZN to BAM Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.1839 BAM

YEARLY LOW

1.0315 BAM

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.1039 BAM

2016 AZN to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the AZN to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 29, valuing the pair at 1.1839. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 1.0315.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1525 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1364 to the December average rate of 1.0479, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.78% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.1839 was down 46.97% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.2324, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AZN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,920 BAM

2015 Average 8,740 BAM

Yearly Trough Low 5,157 BAM

Transaction Impact: A difference of 762.27 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.1644

1.0373

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AZN to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1290, compared to 1.0787 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0503 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1290

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0787

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.0973 BAM (High: 1.1536 / Low: 1.0562). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0218 BAM (High: 1.0712 / Low: 1.0493).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0973

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0218

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0531 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0531

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 1.1538) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.6699), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5161 (-30.90%).

2016 Avg (May) 1.1538

2015 Avg (May) 1.6699

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.1606	1.1027	1.1364
February	1.1472	1.0897	1.1141
March	1.1536	1.0562	1.0883
April	1.1602	1.1219	1.1373
May	1.1839	1.1280	1.1538
June	1.1762	1.1163	1.1444
July	1.1423	1.0970	1.1284
August	1.0979	1.0532	1.0753
September	1.0712	1.0493	1.0620
October	1.1133	1.0688	1.0959
November	1.0736	1.0486	1.0629
December	1.0598	1.0315	1.0479