2013 AZN to BAM Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.9489 BAM

YEARLY LOW

1.8072 BAM

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.8788 BAM

2013 AZN to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the AZN to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 9, valuing the pair at 1.9489. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 27, dropping to 1.8072.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1418 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.8761 to the December average rate of 1.8212, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.92% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1.9489 was down 5.66% compared to the 2012 peak of 2.0658, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AZN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,745 BAM

2012 Average 9,697 BAM

Yearly Trough Low 9,036 BAM

Transaction Impact: A difference of 708.76 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1.9338

1.8110

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AZN to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.8995, compared to 1.8581 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0414 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.8995

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.8581

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was February, with a trading range of 0.0806 BAM (High: 1.9085 / Low: 1.8279). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0249 BAM (High: 1.8872 / Low: 1.8623).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0806

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0249

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0385 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0385

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2013: 1.9070) against the same month in 2012 (average: 2.0273), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1203 (-5.93%).

2013 Avg (July) 1.9070

2012 Avg (July) 2.0273

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.9096	1.8394	1.8761
February	1.9085	1.8279	1.8668
March	1.9472	1.9060	1.9235
April	1.9459	1.8975	1.9153
May	1.9429	1.8953	1.9219
June	1.9195	1.8648	1.8933
July	1.9489	1.8779	1.9070
August	1.8872	1.8623	1.8735
September	1.8999	1.8444	1.8680
October	1.8453	1.8072	1.8295
November	1.8676	1.8351	1.8493
December	1.8411	1.8101	1.8212