YEARLY HIGH
41.9782 RUB
YEARLY LOW
34.7292 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
37.8928 RUB

2018 BAM to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BAM to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 9, valuing the pair at 41.9782. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 9, dropping to 34.7292.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.2489 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 35.3098 to the December average rate of 39.3442, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.43% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 41.9782 was up 14.41% compared to the 2017 peak of 36.6926, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BAM based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 209,891 RUB
2017 Average 168,463 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 173,646 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 36,244.65 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

40.9164
34.8001
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BAM to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 36.7687, compared to 39.0170 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.2483 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 36.7687
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 39.0170

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 3.6458 RUB (High: 39.6736 / Low: 36.0277). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9432 RUB (High: 37.9905 / Low: 37.0473).

April Spread (Volatile) ±3.6458
June Spread (Stable) ±0.9432

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 1.7037 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.7037

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 40.4067) against the same month in 2017 (average: 35.1188), the exchange rate shifted by +5.2879 (+15.06%).

2018 Avg (September) 40.4067
2017 Avg (September) 35.1188

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 35.8306 34.7292 35.3098
February 36.5519 35.0708 35.9153
March 36.5895 35.3971 36.0193
April 39.6736 36.0277 38.1859
May 39.1465 36.7116 37.7103
June 37.9905 37.0473 37.4715
July 38.2978 36.9600 37.6411
August 40.8060 37.5222 39.2296
September 41.9782 38.8413 40.4067
October 39.6413 38.0217 38.7030
November 40.1419 38.1001 38.7774
December 40.7691 38.4798 39.3442