YEARLY HIGH
40.5610 RUB
YEARLY LOW
35.0527 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
37.0455 RUB

2019 BAM to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BAM to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 40.5610. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 25, dropping to 35.0527.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.5083 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 38.9720 to the December average rate of 35.7026, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.39% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 40.5610 was down 3.38% compared to the 2018 peak of 41.9782, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BAM based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 202,805 RUB
2018 Average 189,501 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 175,263 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 27,541.73 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

39.2989
35.3757
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BAM to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 37.6806, compared to 36.4104 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.2702 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 37.6806
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 36.4104

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 2.4083 RUB (High: 40.5610 / Low: 38.1527). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3366 RUB (High: 36.2632 / Low: 35.9266).

January Spread (Volatile) ±2.4083
November Spread (Stable) ±0.3366

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.9106 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9106

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 38.9720) against the same month in 2018 (average: 35.3098), the exchange rate shifted by +3.6622 (+10.37%).

2019 Avg (January) 38.9720
2018 Avg (January) 35.3098

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 40.5610 38.1527 38.9720
February 38.5337 37.8961 38.1794
March 38.3793 37.0531 37.7219
April 37.5575 36.6454 37.0969
May 37.5228 36.6705 37.1153
June 37.5599 36.3576 36.9983
July 36.7297 35.9747 36.2821
August 38.0970 36.4184 37.4796
September 37.7023 35.8096 36.5689
October 36.6379 36.1457 36.3335
November 36.2632 35.9266 36.0960
December 36.2969 35.0527 35.7026