2014 BAM to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1853.6445 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1694.8761 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1761.5503 UGX

2014 BAM to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the BAM to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 12, valuing the pair at 1853.6445. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 4, dropping to 1694.8761.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 158.7683 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1741.0376 to the December average rate of 1740.2152, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.05% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1853.6445 was down 0.32% compared to the 2013 peak of 1859.5658, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BAM based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,268,222 UGX

2013 Average 8,775,622 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 8,474,381 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 793,841.67 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1831.1111

1712.8288

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BAM to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1766.9706, compared to 1756.1300 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 10.8406 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1766.9706

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1756.1300

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was February, with a trading range of 68.0249 UGX (High: 1775.6393 / Low: 1707.6144). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 24.4246 UGX (High: 1796.8631 / Low: 1772.4385).

February Spread (Volatile) ±68.0249

April Spread (Stable) ±24.4246

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 51.4190 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -51.4190

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2014: 1821.2542) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1730.6735), the exchange rate shifted by +90.5808 (+5.23%).

2014 Avg (July) 1821.2542

2013 Avg (July) 1730.6735

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1775.0381	1709.9982	1741.0376
February	1775.6393	1707.6144	1722.6857
March	1812.9050	1766.4489	1789.3262
April	1796.8631	1772.4385	1782.8389
May	1792.3893	1762.0545	1775.5103
June	1816.2233	1769.1749	1790.4247
July	1853.6445	1795.4122	1821.2542
August	1795.0889	1749.5712	1776.3216
September	1753.4060	1712.8937	1724.9026
October	1760.1129	1694.8761	1732.4597
November	1767.7006	1707.9679	1741.6265
December	1776.7992	1715.5771	1740.2152