2019 BAM to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2192.9263 UGX

YEARLY LOW

2052.1439 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2120.9815 UGX

2019 BAM to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BAM to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 2192.9263. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 26, dropping to 2052.1439.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 140.7824 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2163.7134 to the December average rate of 2087.2751, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.53% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 2192.9263 was down 6.78% compared to the 2018 peak of 2352.5427, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BAM based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,964,631 UGX

2018 Average 11,258,011 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 10,260,719 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 703,911.89 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

2173.0516

2060.9939

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BAM to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2149.0228, compared to 2092.9402 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 56.0826 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2149.0228

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2092.9402

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was October, with a trading range of 65.8689 UGX (High: 2118.5745 / Low: 2052.7056). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 27.5535 UGX (High: 2168.3452 / Low: 2140.7917).

October Spread (Volatile) ±65.8689

May Spread (Stable) ±27.5535

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 33.5722 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -33.5722

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 2163.7134) against the same month in 2018 (average: 2268.2960), the exchange rate shifted by -104.5826 (-4.61%).

2019 Avg (January) 2163.7134

2018 Avg (January) 2268.2960

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2192.9263	2131.9941	2163.7134
February	2162.1130	2114.6803	2131.9920
March	2156.5627	2124.5728	2142.3161
April	2166.5458	2129.4297	2148.0278
May	2168.3452	2140.7917	2153.9845
June	2173.9564	2130.6024	2154.1032
July	2149.9564	2103.0206	2120.5310
August	2121.0386	2082.8694	2100.0470
September	2083.5625	2052.1439	2070.3320
October	2118.5745	2052.7056	2089.8144
November	2116.1330	2076.3689	2089.6419
December	2103.9672	2074.7309	2087.2751