2016 BAM to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1998.3855 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1857.8305 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1932.9471 UGX

2016 BAM to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BAM to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 11, valuing the pair at 1998.3855. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 2, dropping to 1857.8305.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 140.5550 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1914.2896 to the December average rate of 1939.3418, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.31% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1998.3855 was down 7.08% compared to the 2015 peak of 2150.7135, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BAM based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,991,928 UGX

2015 Average 9,187,451 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 9,289,153 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 702,774.98 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1968.4626

1906.7259

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BAM to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1929.7568, compared to 1936.1374 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 6.3806 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1929.7568

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1936.1374

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 122.0158 UGX (High: 1998.3855 / Low: 1876.3697). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 22.6963 UGX (High: 1945.3189 / Low: 1922.6226).

February Spread (Volatile) ±122.0158

September Spread (Stable) ±22.6963

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 32.7638 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -32.7638

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 1946.5716) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1666.0568), the exchange rate shifted by +280.5149 (+16.84%).

2016 Avg (February) 1946.5716

2015 Avg (February) 1666.0568

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1942.1843	1869.5325	1914.2896
February	1998.3855	1876.3697	1946.5716
March	1958.5864	1857.8305	1913.8078
April	1963.1670	1899.0072	1937.5865
May	1954.2666	1912.8794	1931.8210
June	1958.7091	1915.2952	1934.4643
July	1936.1058	1895.1176	1911.8706
August	1950.0760	1910.2530	1930.8135
September	1945.3189	1922.6226	1936.6745
October	1949.3542	1914.6791	1934.8061
November	1989.5771	1948.6134	1963.3179
December	1990.9498	1894.1857	1939.3418