2018 BAM to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2352.5427 UGX

YEARLY LOW

2131.8693 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2252.1386 UGX

2018 BAM to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BAM to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 1, valuing the pair at 2352.5427. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 2131.8693.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 220.6734 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2268.2960 to the December average rate of 2161.3438, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.72% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2352.5427 was up 5.38% compared to the 2017 peak of 2232.5369, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BAM based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,762,713 UGX

2017 Average 10,446,896 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 10,659,347 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,103,366.93 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2338.9306

2145.1995

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BAM to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2290.0491, compared to 2214.2280 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 75.8211 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2290.0491

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2214.2280

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 149.9058 UGX (High: 2352.5427 / Low: 2202.6369). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 39.1616 UGX (High: 2336.3040 / Low: 2297.1424).

July Spread (Volatile) ±149.9058

April Spread (Stable) ±39.1616

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 67.9590 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -67.9590

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 2249.7390) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2125.6958), the exchange rate shifted by +124.0432 (+5.84%).

2018 Avg (July) 2249.7390

2017 Avg (July) 2125.6958

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2312.5728	2226.1804	2268.2960
February	2319.3583	2275.2079	2298.5777
March	2328.1502	2269.8285	2304.6195
April	2336.3040	2297.1424	2322.7863
May	2296.7556	2224.3888	2254.8273
June	2329.3415	2254.3774	2291.1878
July	2352.5427	2202.6369	2249.7390
August	2251.7431	2164.4575	2203.1637
September	2303.1808	2226.7340	2272.8697
October	2272.7703	2180.1480	2220.0922
November	2254.3445	2151.1308	2178.1596
December	2177.9891	2131.8693	2161.3438