YEARLY HIGH
1.3697 NPR
YEARLY LOW
1.2942 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.3340 NPR

2019 BDT to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BDT to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 3, valuing the pair at 1.3697. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 11, dropping to 1.2942.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0755 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.3480 to the December average rate of 1.3417, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.47% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1.3697 was down 3.15% compared to the 2018 peak of 1.4143, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BDT based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,848 NPR
2018 Average 6,521 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 6,471 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 377.55 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1.3602
1.2958
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BDT to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3305, compared to 1.3375 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0071 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3305
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3375

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.0561 NPR (High: 1.3641 / Low: 1.3080). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0128 NPR (High: 1.3070 / Low: 1.2942).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0561
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0128

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0317 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0317

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2019: 1.3489) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1.3745), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0256 (-1.86%).

2019 Avg (September) 1.3489
2018 Avg (September) 1.3745

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.3612 1.3248 1.3480
February 1.3672 1.3435 1.3548
March 1.3514 1.3000 1.3231
April 1.3336 1.3066 1.3188
May 1.3348 1.3143 1.3225
June 1.3236 1.3084 1.3156
July 1.3070 1.2942 1.3011
August 1.3641 1.3080 1.3432
September 1.3697 1.3357 1.3489
October 1.3516 1.3364 1.3421
November 1.3603 1.3345 1.3481
December 1.3521 1.3330 1.3417