YEARLY HIGH
44.0452 BTN
YEARLY LOW
38.9514 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
41.4200 BTN

2014 BGN to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the BGN to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 27, valuing the pair at 44.0452. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 8, dropping to 38.9514.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.0938 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 43.2005 to the December average rate of 39.5034, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.56% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 44.0452 was down 4.67% compared to the 2013 peak of 46.2041, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 220,226 BTN
2013 Average 198,837 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 194,757 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 25,468.98 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

43.8173
38.9117
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 42.5710, compared to 40.2690 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.3020 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 42.5710
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 40.2690

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was May, with a trading range of 2.0350 BTN (High: 42.7150 / Low: 40.6800). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4715 BTN (High: 43.6491 / Low: 43.1776).

May Spread (Volatile) ±2.0350
February Spread (Stable) ±0.4715

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 1.3431 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.3431

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 43.2005) against the same month in 2013 (average: 36.8979), the exchange rate shifted by +6.3026 (+17.08%).

2014 Avg (January) 43.2005
2013 Avg (January) 36.8979

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 44.0452 42.5644 43.2005
February 43.6491 43.1776 43.4085
March 43.6384 42.0256 43.0775
April 43.1339 42.0951 42.5806
May 42.7150 40.6800 41.6572
June 42.0198 41.0120 41.5019
July 41.9842 41.1537 41.5606
August 41.9420 40.6983 41.4128
September 40.6653 39.6497 40.0698
October 40.2722 39.3406 39.7470
November 39.6938 39.0197 39.3205
December 40.4954 38.9514 39.5034