YEARLY HIGH
41.9326 BTN
YEARLY LOW
38.9396 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
40.2744 BTN

2019 BGN to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BGN to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 4, valuing the pair at 41.9326. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 31, dropping to 38.9396.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.9930 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 41.2229 to the December average rate of 40.4335, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.91% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 41.9326 was down 4.50% compared to the 2018 peak of 43.9087, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 209,663 BTN
2018 Average 206,201 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 194,698 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,965.14 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

41.4508
39.2155
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 40.4193, compared to 40.1296 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2897 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 40.4193
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 40.1296

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 1.7469 BTN (High: 40.8891 / Low: 39.1422). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6529 BTN (High: 40.6764 / Low: 40.0235).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.7469
November Spread (Stable) ±0.6529

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 1.1226 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1226

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 41.2646) against the same month in 2018 (average: 40.6504), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6142 (+1.51%).

2019 Avg (February) 41.2646
2018 Avg (February) 40.6504

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 41.7410 40.5612 41.2229
February 41.9326 40.7253 41.2646
March 41.1474 39.6372 40.1419
April 40.1552 39.3283 39.8845
May 40.4699 39.6547 39.9109
June 40.4368 39.7772 40.0908
July 39.9973 38.9396 39.4018
August 40.8891 39.1422 40.3218
September 40.6923 39.4371 40.1042
October 40.6244 39.5201 40.1484
November 40.6764 40.0235 40.3678
December 40.9336 40.1923 40.4335