YEARLY HIGH
43.9087 BTN
YEARLY LOW
38.8893 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
41.2391 BTN

2018 BGN to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 43.9087. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 38.8893.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.0194 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 39.6906 to the December average rate of 41.0895, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.52% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 43.9087 was up 10.87% compared to the 2017 peak of 39.6050, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 219,543 BTN
2017 Average 187,905 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 194,446 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 25,096.97 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

43.5762
39.3374
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 40.6353, compared to 41.8430 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.2077 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 40.6353
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 41.8430

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 2.5702 BTN (High: 42.8271 / Low: 40.2570). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4788 BTN (High: 41.2753 / Low: 40.7965).

November Spread (Volatile) ±2.5702
March Spread (Stable) ±0.4788

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 1.4787 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.4787

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 43.2230) against the same month in 2017 (average: 39.1092), the exchange rate shifted by +4.1138 (+10.52%).

2018 Avg (October) 43.2230
2017 Avg (October) 39.1092

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 40.3903 38.8893 39.6906
February 40.9721 40.2324 40.6504
March 41.2753 40.7965 40.9981
April 41.5932 40.6750 41.2061
May 41.2525 40.0955 40.8087
June 40.8985 40.0092 40.4577
July 41.3779 40.7566 41.0469
August 42.2964 40.1482 41.0302
September 43.6560 42.0982 42.9240
October 43.9087 42.5771 43.2230
November 42.8271 40.2570 41.7443
December 41.8010 40.4730 41.0895