YEARLY HIGH
39.4215 BTN
YEARLY LOW
36.0600 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
38.0180 BTN

2016 BGN to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BGN to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 11, valuing the pair at 39.4215. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 36.0600.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.3615 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 37.3672 to the December average rate of 36.5676, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.14% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 39.4215 was up 0.47% compared to the 2015 peak of 39.2358, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 197,108 BTN
2015 Average 181,975 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 180,300 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 16,807.61 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

38.9641
36.3497
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 38.3478, compared to 37.6882 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6596 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 38.3478
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 37.6882

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 1.6417 BTN (High: 39.4215 / Low: 37.7798). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4131 BTN (High: 38.4978 / Low: 38.0847).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.6417
September Spread (Stable) ±0.4131

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.7122 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7122

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 38.7462) against the same month in 2015 (average: 36.0039), the exchange rate shifted by +2.7424 (+7.62%).

2016 Avg (February) 38.7462
2015 Avg (February) 36.0039

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 38.0718 36.6670 37.3672
February 39.4215 37.7798 38.7462
March 38.5800 37.6304 38.1152
April 38.7972 38.1956 38.5332
May 39.1110 38.1097 38.6502
June 39.1844 38.3201 38.6749
July 38.3904 37.7368 38.0361
August 38.8393 37.8673 38.3440
September 38.4978 38.0847 38.2624
October 38.2609 37.1887 37.6393
November 37.9568 36.8247 37.2798
December 37.2939 36.0600 36.5676