YEARLY HIGH
972.0533 CDF
YEARLY LOW
925.1893 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
945.9690 CDF

2019 BGN to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BGN to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 972.0533. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 1, dropping to 925.1893.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 46.8640 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 954.2783 to the December average rate of 953.4364, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 972.0533 was down 5.82% compared to the 2018 peak of 1032.0860, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,860,266 CDF
2018 Average 4,888,826 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 4,625,946 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 234,320.18 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

956.6297
935.2461
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 947.7393, compared to 944.1988 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.5405 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 947.7393
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 944.1988

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 28.8875 CDF (High: 966.9097 / Low: 938.0222). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 8.1961 CDF (High: 945.2168 / Low: 937.0208).

December Spread (Volatile) ±28.8875
November Spread (Stable) ±8.1961

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 9.1045 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -9.1045

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 954.2783) against the same month in 2018 (average: 998.8497), the exchange rate shifted by -44.5714 (-4.46%).

2019 Avg (January) 954.2783
2018 Avg (January) 998.8497

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 972.0533 946.2457 954.2783
February 961.3047 943.0260 950.5416
March 957.0501 936.5140 945.4674
April 948.8241 932.5790 940.5898
May 946.2999 935.9750 940.7108
June 964.9704 942.4378 954.8478
July 958.8280 939.3838 951.7660
August 953.6082 930.8322 942.6615
September 943.5897 928.4449 937.0281
October 948.3966 925.1893 940.0829
November 945.2168 937.0208 940.2176
December 966.9097 938.0222 953.4364