2016 BGN to LRD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

54.8731 LRD

YEARLY LOW

46.7174 LRD

YEARLY AVERAGE

50.5444 LRD

2016 BGN to LRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BGN to LRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 18, valuing the pair at 54.8731. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 24, dropping to 46.7174.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.1557 LRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 47.5382 to the December average rate of 49.5396, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.21% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 54.8731 was down 2.96% compared to the 2015 peak of 56.5479, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 274,366 LRD

2015 Average 243,898 LRD

Yearly Trough Low 233,587 LRD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 40,778.72 LRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

53.1048

47.0322

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to LRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 49.8368, compared to 51.2521 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.4154 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 49.8368

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 51.2521

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was August, with a trading range of 3.7215 LRD (High: 54.8731 / Low: 51.1516). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7417 LRD (High: 52.8095 / Low: 52.0678).

August Spread (Volatile) ±3.7215

September Spread (Stable) ±0.7417

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 1.3702 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.3702

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2016: 52.5987) against the same month in 2015 (average: 49.4404), the exchange rate shifted by +3.1583 (+6.39%).

2016 Avg (August) 52.5987

2015 Avg (August) 49.4404

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	49.6818	46.7174	47.5382
February	48.5753	47.0308	47.9876
March	49.2080	47.0588	48.2063
April	52.8994	49.2261	50.9918
May	53.2660	51.4546	52.2745
June	52.6938	51.0531	52.0221
July	51.5962	50.6924	51.1141
August	54.8731	51.1516	52.5987
September	52.8095	52.0678	52.4218
October	52.6856	50.2230	51.6044
November	51.8942	49.0969	50.2342
December	50.2782	48.5313	49.5396