YEARLY HIGH
120.8676 LRD
YEARLY LOW
91.1565 LRD
YEARLY AVERAGE
106.4913 LRD

2019 BGN to LRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BGN to LRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 3, valuing the pair at 120.8676. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 91.1565.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 29.7111 LRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 92.8775 to the December average rate of 107.1538, the exchange rate registered a net change of 15.37% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 120.8676 was up 25.50% compared to the 2018 peak of 96.3061, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 604,338 LRD
2018 Average 433,835 LRD
Yearly Trough Low 455,782 LRD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 148,555.51 LRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

122.0045
90.2296
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to LRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 98.3351, compared to 114.6474 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 16.3123 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 98.3351
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 114.6474

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was November, with a trading range of 12.2786 LRD (High: 120.8676 / Low: 108.5889). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.5112 LRD (High: 94.1703 / Low: 92.6591).

November Spread (Volatile) ±12.2786
February Spread (Stable) ±1.5112

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 6.4362 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.4362

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2019: 113.5900) against the same month in 2018 (average: 91.6589), the exchange rate shifted by +21.9311 (+23.93%).

2019 Avg (November) 113.5900
2018 Avg (November) 91.6589

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 94.3494 91.1565 92.8775
February 94.1703 92.6591 93.4562
March 94.7614 92.6418 93.6716
April 97.1517 93.3659 95.2048
May 108.9653 97.2262 102.8228
June 114.0535 108.9653 111.9778
July 115.8261 113.2536 114.7027
August 116.6836 114.9353 115.8026
September 118.3351 115.7771 117.2790
October 120.6581 116.7326 119.3566
November 120.8676 108.5889 113.5900
December 108.6735 106.2461 107.1538