YEARLY HIGH
96.3061 LRD
YEARLY LOW
76.7424 LRD
YEARLY AVERAGE
86.7215 LRD

2018 BGN to LRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to LRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 17, valuing the pair at 96.3061. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 9, dropping to 76.7424.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 19.5637 LRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 79.1413 to the December average rate of 91.6640, the exchange rate registered a net change of 15.82% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 96.3061 was up 25.04% compared to the 2017 peak of 77.0175, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 481,530 LRD
2017 Average 303,278 LRD
Yearly Trough Low 383,712 LRD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 97,818.68 LRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

94.1505
77.7768
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to LRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 81.6299, compared to 91.8131 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 10.1832 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 81.6299
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 91.8131

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 7.0896 LRD (High: 89.5260 / Low: 82.4364). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.0848 LRD (High: 92.1919 / Low: 91.1071).

June Spread (Volatile) ±7.0896
December Spread (Stable) ±1.0848

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 2.2531 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.2531

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 92.7860) against the same month in 2017 (average: 54.6892), the exchange rate shifted by +38.0968 (+69.66%).

2018 Avg (July) 92.7860
2017 Avg (July) 54.6892

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 81.8887 76.7424 79.1413
February 82.1522 77.5629 79.7389
March 83.6349 81.6952 82.6441
April 83.3461 81.2035 82.2729
May 82.6046 79.8100 80.9458
June 89.5260 82.4364 85.0364
July 96.3061 89.5392 92.7860
August 92.3758 89.1500 90.5329
September 95.4853 91.1351 92.2352
October 93.0909 90.6130 92.0014
November 92.5226 90.5499 91.6589
December 92.1919 91.1071 91.6640