2014 BGN to SOS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

798.2049 SOS

YEARLY LOW

446.5695 SOS

YEARLY AVERAGE

621.2864 SOS

2014 BGN to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the BGN to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 798.2049. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 446.5695.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 351.6354 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 769.0660 to the December average rate of 459.9807, the exchange rate registered a net change of -40.19% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 798.2049 was down 28.76% compared to the 2013 peak of 1120.4220, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,991,025 SOS

2013 Average 4,764,979 SOS

Yearly Trough Low 2,232,848 SOS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,758,177.09 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

799.9745

429.0722

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 709.4969, compared to 533.0758 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 176.4211 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 709.4969

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 533.0758

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was September, with a trading range of 65.5438 SOS (High: 564.7405 / Low: 499.1967). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 13.6249 SOS (High: 700.1216 / Low: 686.4967).

September Spread (Volatile) ±65.5438

April Spread (Stable) ±13.6249

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 49.6184 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -49.6184

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 769.0660) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1086.4035), the exchange rate shifted by -317.3375 (-29.21%).

2014 Avg (January) 769.0660

2013 Avg (January) 1086.4035

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	798.2049	748.2672	769.0660
February	756.2626	731.7477	745.6222
March	736.8001	692.0098	718.8991
April	700.1216	686.4967	692.1965
May	692.3074	658.6042	680.8228
June	661.8756	641.1992	650.3747
July	644.9805	582.0327	623.9959
August	583.2809	563.7163	574.3775
September	564.7405	499.1967	540.9534
October	512.4754	494.9570	505.0971
November	502.8730	476.4291	494.0505
December	478.9695	446.5695	459.9807