YEARLY HIGH
343.1870 SOS
YEARLY LOW
321.9410 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
331.8948 SOS

2019 BGN to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BGN to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 343.1870. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 1, dropping to 321.9410.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 21.2460 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 338.7488 to the December average rate of 329.4076, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.76% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 343.1870 was down 7.66% compared to the 2018 peak of 371.6535, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,715,935 SOS
2018 Average 1,747,672 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 1,609,705 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 106,229.89 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

340.0088
324.8890
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 335.0638, compared to 328.7259 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 6.3379 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 335.0638
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 328.7259

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was October, with a trading range of 9.2751 SOS (High: 331.2161 / Low: 321.9410). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.2084 SOS (High: 330.4174 / Low: 325.2090).

October Spread (Volatile) ±9.2751
November Spread (Stable) ±5.2084

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 3.8149 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.8149

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 338.7488) against the same month in 2018 (average: 361.6826), the exchange rate shifted by -22.9338 (-6.34%).

2019 Avg (January) 338.7488
2018 Avg (January) 361.6826

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 343.1870 335.0634 338.7488
February 340.1838 333.7351 336.3114
March 338.9626 331.8157 335.1022
April 335.2713 329.3401 332.6306
May 334.6913 329.4604 332.2880
June 338.9210 331.3121 335.3016
July 336.3096 327.7507 332.7672
August 332.2706 324.2224 328.9523
September 328.6422 323.0662 326.1490
October 331.2161 321.9410 327.6733
November 330.4174 325.2090 327.4057
December 332.3228 325.8343 329.4076