YEARLY HIGH
371.6535 SOS
YEARLY LOW
331.9226 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
349.6463 SOS

2018 BGN to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 371.6535. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 12, dropping to 331.9226.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 39.7309 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 361.6826 to the December average rate of 337.3110, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.74% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 371.6535 was up 3.20% compared to the 2017 peak of 360.1169, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,858,268 SOS
2017 Average 1,673,174 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 1,659,613 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 198,654.54 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

369.8109
333.5594
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 358.3912, compared to 340.9014 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 17.4898 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 358.3912
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 340.9014

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 17.8379 SOS (High: 370.3810 / Low: 352.5431). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.8788 SOS (High: 347.7189 / Low: 343.8401).

January Spread (Volatile) ±17.8379
July Spread (Stable) ±3.8788

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 13.8277 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -13.8277

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 366.7900) against the same month in 2017 (average: 315.0455), the exchange rate shifted by +51.7444 (+16.42%).

2018 Avg (February) 366.7900
2017 Avg (February) 315.0455

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 370.3810 352.5431 361.6826
February 371.6535 362.9276 366.7900
March 370.6067 362.4460 366.2734
April 366.1668 354.5528 362.4968
May 355.3734 340.2077 348.6691
June 348.1675 339.0508 344.4354
July 347.7189 343.8401 345.6311
August 346.6885 335.5896 341.1334
September 347.9155 342.1015 344.4923
October 343.5897 335.4247 340.2605
November 339.7475 331.9226 336.5803
December 339.7515 334.5947 337.3110