YEARLY HIGH
358.4204 SOS
YEARLY LOW
297.4633 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
336.0076 SOS

2016 BGN to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BGN to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 3, valuing the pair at 358.4204. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 297.4633.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 60.9571 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 343.8485 to the December average rate of 308.7052, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.22% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 358.4204 was down 19.41% compared to the 2015 peak of 444.7400, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,792,102 SOS
2015 Average 1,914,359 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 1,487,316 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 304,785.63 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

358.1015
304.2146
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 346.8224, compared to 325.1927 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 21.6297 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 346.8224
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 325.1927

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 27.1273 SOS (High: 327.2894 / Low: 300.1620). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.6879 SOS (High: 336.3450 / Low: 332.6570).

November Spread (Volatile) ±27.1273
September Spread (Stable) ±3.6879

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 11.1232 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -11.1232

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 353.6110) against the same month in 2015 (average: 387.6627), the exchange rate shifted by -34.0517 (-8.78%).

2016 Avg (April) 353.6110
2015 Avg (April) 387.6627

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 347.2993 338.2583 343.8485
February 353.4159 339.6676 347.9329
March 356.8950 338.8073 348.5985
April 358.4204 347.9048 353.6110
May 357.4483 336.6639 348.9614
June 348.3168 330.3224 337.9822
July 334.5544 324.5643 329.6009
August 338.2791 327.9122 333.6517
September 336.3450 332.6570 334.3184
October 336.8598 320.5011 328.0018
November 327.2894 300.1620 316.8786
December 318.9515 297.4633 308.7052