YEARLY HIGH
1.3510 TOP
YEARLY LOW
1.2608 TOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.3065 TOP

2023 BGN to TOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the BGN to TOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 14, valuing the pair at 1.3510. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 5, dropping to 1.2608.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0902 TOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2844 to the December average rate of 1.3120, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.15% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 1.3510 was up 1.18% compared to the 2022 peak of 1.3353, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,755 TOP
2022 Average 6,273 TOP
Yearly Trough Low 6,304 TOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 451.16 TOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

1.3325
1.2735
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to TOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2988, compared to 1.3141 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0153 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2988
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3141

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was July, with a trading range of 0.0445 TOP (High: 1.3510 / Low: 1.3065). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0161 TOP (High: 1.3346 / Low: 1.3184).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0445
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0161

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0212 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0212

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2023: 1.3276) against the same month in 2022 (average: 1.2249), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1027 (+8.39%).

2023 Avg (July) 1.3276
2022 Avg (July) 1.2249

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.2941 1.2608 1.2844
February 1.2925 1.2689 1.2784
March 1.3116 1.2728 1.2917
April 1.3363 1.3082 1.3205
May 1.3339 1.2957 1.3107
June 1.3216 1.2946 1.3073
July 1.3510 1.3065 1.3276
August 1.3346 1.3184 1.3265
September 1.3168 1.2845 1.3053
October 1.3120 1.2800 1.2950
November 1.3333 1.3010 1.3184
December 1.3249 1.2976 1.3120