YEARLY HIGH
1.3476 TOP
YEARLY LOW
1.2691 TOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.3105 TOP

2024 BGN to TOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the BGN to TOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 25, valuing the pair at 1.3476. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 1.2691.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0785 TOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.3138 to the December average rate of 1.2823, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.40% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 1.3476 was down 0.26% compared to the 2023 peak of 1.3510, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,738 TOP
2023 Average 6,533 TOP
Yearly Trough Low 6,345 TOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 392.40 TOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

1.3375
1.2773
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to TOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3086, compared to 1.3125 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0039 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3086
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3125

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was November, with a trading range of 0.0530 TOP (High: 1.3294 / Low: 1.2764). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0146 TOP (High: 1.3187 / Low: 1.3041).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0530
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0146

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0170 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0170

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2024: 1.3325) against the same month in 2023 (average: 1.3265), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0060 (+0.45%).

2024 Avg (August) 1.3325
2023 Avg (August) 1.3265

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.3187 1.3041 1.3138
February 1.3197 1.2964 1.3067
March 1.3244 1.3049 1.3163
April 1.3234 1.2942 1.3073
May 1.3173 1.3025 1.3092
June 1.3155 1.2893 1.2982
July 1.3251 1.2967 1.3130
August 1.3476 1.3130 1.3325
September 1.3394 1.3213 1.3318
October 1.3267 1.3070 1.3162
November 1.3294 1.2764 1.2992
December 1.2960 1.2691 1.2823