2014 BGN to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1852.1260 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1696.4834 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1761.3498 UGX

2014 BGN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the BGN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 12, valuing the pair at 1852.1260. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 4, dropping to 1696.4834.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 155.6426 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1740.4881 to the December average rate of 1740.9132, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.02% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1852.1260 was down 0.37% compared to the 2013 peak of 1858.9875, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,260,630 UGX

2013 Average 8,775,090 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 8,482,417 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 778,213.01 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1830.8352

1712.0218

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1766.5854, compared to 1756.1141 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 10.4712 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1766.5854

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1756.1141

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was February, with a trading range of 73.4579 UGX (High: 1779.3132 / Low: 1705.8553). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 23.1327 UGX (High: 1796.5177 / Low: 1773.3851).

February Spread (Volatile) ±73.4579

April Spread (Stable) ±23.1327

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 51.3902 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -51.3902

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2014: 1820.9340) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1730.3370), the exchange rate shifted by +90.5971 (+5.24%).

2014 Avg (July) 1820.9340

2013 Avg (July) 1730.3370

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1776.2563	1709.4797	1740.4881
February	1779.3132	1705.8553	1721.9229
March	1811.0418	1766.0844	1789.0879
April	1796.5177	1773.3851	1782.9222
May	1792.0835	1761.9840	1775.1716
June	1816.4327	1768.9521	1789.9195
July	1852.1260	1794.7797	1820.9340
August	1794.2470	1751.0080	1776.1226
September	1753.4578	1711.5721	1724.7325
October	1760.6327	1696.4834	1732.5098
November	1768.8364	1710.8063	1741.4726
December	1777.1784	1715.4863	1740.9132