2019 BGN to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2202.7843 UGX

YEARLY LOW

2048.9493 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2120.4205 UGX

2019 BGN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BGN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 2202.7843. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 26, dropping to 2048.9493.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 153.8349 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2162.2998 to the December average rate of 2087.5417, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.46% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 2202.7843 was down 5.76% compared to the 2018 peak of 2337.3615, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,013,921 UGX

2018 Average 11,247,368 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 10,244,747 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 769,174.75 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

2171.5836

2060.1777

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2148.2115, compared to 2092.6294 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 55.5821 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2148.2115

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2092.6294

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 72.4045 UGX (High: 2202.7843 / Low: 2130.3798). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 29.4291 UGX (High: 2168.9470 / Low: 2139.5179).

January Spread (Volatile) ±72.4045

May Spread (Stable) ±29.4291

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 34.7723 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -34.7723

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 2162.2998) against the same month in 2018 (average: 2270.4060), the exchange rate shifted by -108.1062 (-4.76%).

2019 Avg (January) 2162.2998

2018 Avg (January) 2270.4060

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2202.7843	2130.3798	2162.2998
February	2155.7855	2114.3864	2131.5651
March	2164.7107	2118.2039	2140.4154
April	2166.7332	2130.2243	2145.7260
May	2168.9470	2139.5179	2154.8422
June	2179.9848	2123.1479	2154.4208
July	2149.2219	2094.2511	2119.6485
August	2121.2816	2072.1299	2099.4550
September	2080.4968	2048.9493	2069.4615
October	2118.0858	2049.6589	2090.8009
November	2119.1693	2078.0551	2088.8690
December	2103.8238	2074.1282	2087.5417