YEARLY HIGH
2143.3067 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1993.9908 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
2059.6152 UGX

2023 BGN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the BGN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 2143.3067. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 19, dropping to 1993.9908.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 149.3158 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2035.4607 to the December average rate of 2111.3937, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.73% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 2143.3067 was up 3.49% compared to the 2022 peak of 2071.0722, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,716,533 UGX
2022 Average 9,926,563 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 9,969,954 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 746,579.20 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

2120.8599
2007.2645
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2053.8924, compared to 2065.3380 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 11.4456 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2053.8924
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2065.3380

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was March, with a trading range of 112.1319 UGX (High: 2108.8706 / Low: 1996.7388). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 36.7123 UGX (High: 2055.5435 / Low: 2018.8313).

March Spread (Volatile) ±112.1319
September Spread (Stable) ±36.7123

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 29.6355 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -29.6355

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2023: 2111.3937) against the same month in 2022 (average: 1995.0158), the exchange rate shifted by +116.3778 (+5.83%).

2023 Avg (December) 2111.3937
2022 Avg (December) 1995.0158

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2055.2134 2007.8432 2035.4607
February 2056.4054 1993.9908 2016.7308
March 2108.8706 1996.7388 2046.6933
April 2124.0632 2082.6423 2100.1703
May 2107.4758 2044.9225 2070.5348
June 2080.8583 2035.5246 2053.7646
July 2105.9824 2030.9897 2069.9635
August 2096.8551 2017.5851 2052.8478
September 2055.5435 2018.8313 2040.9571
October 2046.5238 2002.0284 2027.1784
November 2137.3514 2046.4487 2089.6874
December 2143.3067 2074.7458 2111.3937