2018 BGN to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2337.3615 UGX

YEARLY LOW

2134.6044 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2250.0005 UGX

2018 BGN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 18, valuing the pair at 2337.3615. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 2134.6044.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 202.7571 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2270.4060 to the December average rate of 2160.2027, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.85% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2337.3615 was up 4.76% compared to the 2017 peak of 2231.1217, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,686,808 UGX

2017 Average 10,449,651 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 10,673,022 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,013,785.73 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2335.6396

2144.2539

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2289.7004, compared to 2210.3006 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 79.3998 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2289.7004

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2210.3006

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 124.7378 UGX (High: 2329.7179 / Low: 2204.9800). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 42.2622 UGX (High: 2337.3615 / Low: 2295.0994).

July Spread (Volatile) ±124.7378

April Spread (Stable) ±42.2622

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 65.8982 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -65.8982

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 2319.6908) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1988.0416), the exchange rate shifted by +331.6492 (+16.68%).

2018 Avg (April) 2319.6908

2017 Avg (April) 1988.0416

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2311.0711	2228.1441	2270.4060
February	2321.2967	2272.3356	2298.2443
March	2333.0956	2283.1596	2304.6839
April	2337.3615	2295.0994	2319.6908
May	2282.1963	2225.4900	2253.7926
June	2326.2302	2248.6585	2291.3850
July	2329.7179	2204.9800	2245.2656
August	2257.8139	2162.7857	2200.6490
September	2299.6181	2229.5068	2265.0796
October	2263.9140	2179.1743	2219.1989
November	2199.1425	2150.5230	2171.4077
December	2179.3998	2134.6044	2160.2027