YEARLY HIGH
3.2678 VEF
YEARLY LOW
2.8267 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.0575 VEF

2011 BGN to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the BGN to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 4, valuing the pair at 3.2678. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 2.8267.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4412 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.9364 to the December average rate of 2.8926, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.49% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 3.2678 was up 0.79% compared to the 2010 peak of 3.2424, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 16,339 VEF
2010 Average 14,355 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 14,133 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,205.88 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

3.2029
2.8644
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.0827, compared to 3.0323 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0505 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.0827
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.0323

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 0.2188 VEF (High: 3.1132 / Low: 2.8943). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0755 VEF (High: 3.1811 / Low: 3.1056).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.2188
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0755

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1205 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1205

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2011: 3.1542) against the same month in 2010 (average: 2.7690), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3852 (+13.91%).

2011 Avg (May) 3.1542
2010 Avg (May) 2.7690

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.0142 2.8333 2.9364
February 3.0377 2.9512 2.9975
March 3.1205 3.0243 3.0744
April 3.2671 3.1051 3.1747
May 3.2678 3.0786 3.1542
June 3.2173 3.0935 3.1592
July 3.1879 3.0687 3.1365
August 3.1811 3.1056 3.1480
September 3.1368 2.9490 3.0275
October 3.1132 2.8943 3.0134
November 3.0322 2.9025 2.9757
December 2.9657 2.8267 2.8926