YEARLY HIGH
4.4760 VEF
YEARLY LOW
3.9229 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.2745 VEF

2014 BGN to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the BGN to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 18, valuing the pair at 4.4760. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 3.9229.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5532 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.3791 to the December average rate of 3.9740, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.25% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 4.4760 was up 0.86% compared to the 2013 peak of 4.4379, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,380 VEF
2013 Average 19,816 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 19,614 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,765.79 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

4.4918
3.9269
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.4072, compared to 4.1418 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2653 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.4072
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.1418

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was September, with a trading range of 0.1609 VEF (High: 4.2243 / Low: 4.0633). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0414 VEF (High: 4.0341 / Low: 3.9927).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.1609
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0414

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1325 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1325

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2014: 4.4447) against the same month in 2013 (average: 3.1403), the exchange rate shifted by +1.3044 (+41.54%).

2014 Avg (March) 4.4447
2013 Avg (March) 3.1403

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.4274 4.3447 4.3791
February 4.4295 4.3370 4.3889
March 4.4760 4.4158 4.4447
April 4.4629 4.4051 4.4406
May 4.4740 4.3738 4.4159
June 4.3978 4.3549 4.3738
July 4.3978 4.3054 4.3554
August 4.3156 4.2259 4.2822
September 4.2243 4.0633 4.1497
October 4.1146 4.0368 4.0778
November 4.0341 3.9927 4.0120
December 4.0325 3.9229 3.9740