YEARLY HIGH
3.9027 VEF
YEARLY LOW
3.3882 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.5866 VEF

2015 BGN to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the BGN to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 3.9027. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 15, dropping to 3.3882.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5145 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.7566 to the December average rate of 3.5217, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.25% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 3.9027 was down 12.81% compared to the 2014 peak of 4.4760, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 19,514 VEF
2014 Average 21,369 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 16,941 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,572.63 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

3.7856
3.4371
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.6068, compared to 3.5664 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0404 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.6068
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.5664

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 0.2836 VEF (High: 3.9027 / Low: 3.6191). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0765 VEF (High: 3.6966 / Low: 3.6201).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2836
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0765

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.1694 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1694

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 3.7566) against the same month in 2014 (average: 4.3791), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6225 (-14.22%).

2015 Avg (January) 3.7566
2014 Avg (January) 4.3791

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.9027 3.6191 3.7566
February 3.6966 3.6201 3.6646
March 3.6119 3.3882 3.4952
April 3.6104 3.4159 3.4934
May 3.6976 3.5202 3.6060
June 3.6689 3.5323 3.6249
July 3.6024 3.4970 3.5553
August 3.7318 3.5241 3.5991
September 3.6793 3.6023 3.6310
October 3.7012 3.5390 3.6249
November 3.5599 3.4146 3.4662
December 3.5510 3.4278 3.5217