YEARLY HIGH
4.4379 VEF
YEARLY LOW
2.8304 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9581 VEF

2013 BGN to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the BGN to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 25, valuing the pair at 4.4379. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 21, dropping to 2.8304.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6075 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.9180 to the December average rate of 4.4039, the exchange rate registered a net change of 50.92% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 4.4379 was up 50.67% compared to the 2012 peak of 2.9455, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,189 VEF
2012 Average 14,101 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 14,152 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,037.33 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

4.5524
2.7694
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.5981, compared to 4.3182 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7201 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.5981
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.3182

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 1.3211 VEF (High: 4.1515 / Low: 2.8304). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0545 VEF (High: 4.3066 / Low: 4.2521).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.3211
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0545

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0475 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0475

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2013: 4.3857) against the same month in 2012 (average: 2.8470), the exchange rate shifted by +1.5387 (+54.05%).

2013 Avg (October) 4.3857
2012 Avg (October) 2.8470

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.9752 2.8673 2.9180
February 2.9935 2.8728 2.9324
March 4.1515 2.8304 3.1403
April 4.2232 4.1185 4.1870
May 4.2234 4.1302 4.1727
June 4.3010 4.1792 4.2381
July 4.2711 4.1244 4.2060
August 4.3066 4.2521 4.2818
September 4.3481 4.2249 4.2937
October 4.4379 4.3485 4.3857
November 4.3733 4.2952 4.3382
December 4.4304 4.3550 4.4039